Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.554539 0.653636 0.763745 0.894935 1.046754 1.216684 1.421060
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.482635 0.627297 0.802676 1.029992 1.315787 1.662067 2.112195
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.386637 0.550699 0.766376 1.068391 1.477720 2.010135 2.751504
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.326789 0.506950 0.762234 1.145926 1.702519 2.473917 3.615568
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.275040 0.462910 0.748719 1.207767 1.917002 2.958936 4.588947
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.225193 0.410260 0.711777 1.227751 2.073900 3.386713 5.549142
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.186026 0.365670 0.678101 1.245723 2.229907 3.836098 6.610227
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.161665 0.341104 0.672612 1.308869 2.469379 4.451704 8.023976
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.151696 0.341135 0.710551 1.454948 2.874611 5.398211 10.116778
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.133040 0.319264 0.702833 1.514533 3.132974 6.125835 11.929003
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.111003 0.284617 0.662589 1.502794 3.254102 6.621956 13.390481
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.090156 0.247124 0.608365 1.451641 3.288046 6.957704 14.595013
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.073164 0.214841 0.559968 1.406709 3.333976 7.336234 15.961050
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.066065 0.205997 0.564076 1.480979 3.648204 8.298149 18.617972
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.054373 0.181216 0.523902 1.443449 3.707977 8.741279 20.271311
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.047884 0.169461 0.514278 1.478878 3.942061 9.589358 22.889167
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.042090 0.158060 0.503046 1.508139 4.166581 10.446678 25.635630
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.035864 0.143225 0.478698 1.497599 4.290772 11.092149 27.989299
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.030835 0.130772 0.458330 1.493960 4.432200 11.796824 30.566234
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.028019 0.125412 0.458515 1.549821 4.741139 12.945614 34.326924
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.027681 0.129498 0.490013 1.705690 5.348569 14.906867 40.265330
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.025237 0.124335 0.489699 1.763639 5.690278 16.237658 44.799584
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.021675 0.113149 0.465898 1.742204 5.800049 16.983560 47.953339